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Crown Green Handicap

Dave Evans

Team: Cammell LairdDivision: Division BLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

926

Current Handicap

7
Honours
Season:

15

Matches Played

9

Wins

6

Losses

60%

Win Rate

7.0

Avg Win Margin

10.0

Avg Loss Margin

5-2

Home Record

4-4

Away Record

21%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
15 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/15/2016

Only 15 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 154/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 15 matches

+7 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

26 Apr31 May23 Jun7 Jul21 Jul28 Jul4 Aug15 Aug-125811

Gives 7 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current7
Win Percentage(35%)
60%
score+0.20→contribution+0.07
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
7.0
score-0.17→contribution-0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.0
score-0.33→contribution-0.05
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
60%
score+0.20→contribution+0.02
Opponent Strength(15%)
886
score+0.07→contribution+0.01
Weighted Score+0.012
Sample Size Confidence
21%(15/33 matches)
Rating1005 → shrunk 1001→ adjusted 926
Handicap
7

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

9W6L15 matches·60% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Cammell Laird2016Division B159660%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/15/2016Roger HamerA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision B
8/9/2016Paul GriffithsA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision B
8/4/2016Alan MathewsH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision B
8/2/2016Eric OsborneH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision B
7/28/2016Larry BakerA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
7/26/2016Paul AdamsH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision B
7/21/2016Irene BrettH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision B
7/19/2016Ellen LevertonA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
7/7/2016Phil NorburyH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision B
6/30/2016Dave KinsonA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision B
6/23/2016Eric AndersonH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision B
6/16/2016Sue SharpH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision B
5/31/2016Joan JonesA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision B
5/17/2016Nathan BartleyA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision B
4/26/2016Peter BreenA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision B
Leverhulme Cup3 games · 0W
20163 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundPaul AdamsArno Cl14-21LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundSteve WatsonBromborough Recs15-21LOSSWON
Semi Final RoundJames FitzpatrickTixall16-21LOSSLOST
Andy Dawson Cup1 games · 0W
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Final RoundJohn LewisOxton Cons B15-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

4wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWWWL
Last 1070% win rate↑ improving
WWWWLLWLWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Roger Hamer101100%8/15/2016
Paul Griffiths101100%8/9/2016
Alan Mathews101100%8/4/2016
Eric Osborne101100%8/2/2016
Larry Baker0110%7/28/2016
Paul Adams0110%7/26/2016
Irene Brett101100%7/21/2016
Ellen Leverton0110%7/19/2016
Phil Norbury101100%7/7/2016
Dave Kinson101100%6/30/2016
Biggest Win
Irene Brett (+12)7/21/2016
Heaviest Defeat
Paul Adams (-14)7/26/2016
Best Season
201660% · 15 matches
Worst Season
201660% · 15 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
57% → 63%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
87714 known · 1 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
2-167% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
7-464% win rate
Division B60%
9W·6L·15 played

Debut

Apr 26, 2016

Latest

Aug 15, 2016

Seasons Active

1 (4 mo span)

Matches / Season

15.0 (15 total)

Seasons

2016